| Reports Indicate
High Turnout of Young Voters, Strong Support for Kerry among
College Students
Contrary to some early media reports,
the turnout of young voters was up sharply in this November's
elections, according to an analysis of exit poll results and
a follow-up survey by the Center for Information and Research
on Civic Learning and Engagement (CIRCLE). Although their
share of the total vote remained roughly the same, about 1.8
million more eighteen- to twenty-four-year-olds voted this
year than in the 2000 presidential election, CIRCLE estimates.
CIRCLE's analysis also reveal that young voters favored the
Democratic ticket over the Republican ticket by a moderate
margin, and that young voters differed from the electorate
as a whole on issues such as gay marriage and the role of
government. In a separate study, the Chronicle of Higher
Education reported that the Democratic advantage was
more pronounced among college students than among young voters
in general. Even in states that were easily carried by President
Bush, many campuses voted for Kerry by a wide margin.
FINDINGS
Early Estimates of the Youth
Turnout
- More than half of the eligible
under-thirty population voted in November 2004—the
highest level of turnout in more than a decade.
- Approximately 77 percent of
college students cast ballots in this year's presidential
election.
- Among all eighteen- to twenty-four-year-olds,
the turnout was approximately 42.3 percent, up from 36.5
percent in 2000.
- Eighteen- to twenty-four-year-olds'
share of the total vote stayed about the same as in 2000,
at around 9 percent; their share of the eligible voting
population also stayed about the same.
Attitudes and Values of Young
Voters
- A majority of young voters favored
the Democratic ticket, with 54 percent of eighteen- to twenty-nine-year-old
voters supporting Kerry and 45 percent supporting Bush.
- Support for Kerry was stronger
among full-time college students than among other young
voters: according to a survey conducted by Declare Yourself,
59 percent of college students supported Kerry and only
38 percent supported Bush.
- Twenty-two percent of under-thirty
voters selected "moral values" as the single
most important voting issue—exactly the same rate
as in the overall electorate.
- Forty-one percent of under-thirty
voters said that gay and lesbian couples should be allowed
to marry, compared to 25 percent of all voters.
-
Fifty-six percent of under-thirty voters believe that "government
should do more to solve problems," compared to 46
percent of all voters.
Fact sheets (PDF) detailing the
exit poll results and the
results of a survey of college students can be downloaded
at CIRCLE's Web site. Declare Yourself, a nonprofit campaign
to rally young voters, recently released a survey
(PDF) that offers further insight into the political engagement
of young Americans. An article
from The Chronicle of Higher Education that discusses
this survey and other election data can be accessed online
(Chronicle subscribers only)
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DID
YOU KNOW?
- Under-thirty voters were the only age
group to prefer the Democratic ticket over the Republican
ticket in the November elections.
- At nine of twelve campuses examined
by the Chronicle of Higher Education, students
supported Kerry over Bush by more than 20 points.
- Under-thirty voters were more likely
to identify as liberal by 12 points—and less likely
to identify as conservative by 7 points—than "Generation
X" voters who are currently in their thirties.
- Sixty-four percent of first-time
voters in this election were under thirty.
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